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2018. 8. 27.질병중국

Fever or trade talk briefly ignite U.S. hog market

A second African swine fever case was confirmed in China's hog herd on Aug. 16, far from the first case.

U.S. hog futures spiked limit-up that day, and the rally coincided with U.S.-China trade talk news and the wrap-up of the U.S.-Mexico talks.

중요한 이유

ASF in China raises expectations of tighter global pork supply, and trade headlines have driven sharp swings in U.S. hog and cattle futures, which add volatility to feed-buying decisions.

영향 대상돈육 (Lean Hogs)▲생우▲비육용 소▲

출처 1건
wlj.netKerry Halladay, WLJ Managing Editor2018. 8. 27.

가격 반응 및 이력

돈육 (Lean Hogs)▲상승현재까지1d +1.1%5d -3.6%20d +17.2%

과거 상승 질병 이벤트 177건 이후, 돈육 (Lean Hogs)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.8%~+2.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

2018. 10. 26.African Swine Fever, trade disputes to disrupt global pork market - High Plains Journal+0.9%
2020. 2. 20.U.S. livestock: Hogs weaken on profit taking, cattle mixed - Manitoba Co-operator-1.3%
2019. 4. 18.U.S. livestock: Deferred hog futures set contract highs for fourth day - Country Guide+1.7%
2022. 1. 13.U.S. livestock: Hog slaughter hits five-month low on Omicron spread - AgCanada+3.5%
2018. 8. 31.Hog Traders Eye China's Swine Fever+7.0%

생우▲상승현재까지1d +0.5%5d -0.1%20d +3.5%

과거 상승 질병 이벤트 148건 이후, 생우은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.4% 변동(상승 62%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.5%~+1.2%), 20거래일 동안 +1.4%.

2025. 10. 17.NWS is affecting both sides of border | Western Livestock Journal+0.3%
2025. 3. 28.A cattle industry update from northern Mexico | Western Livestock Journal-0.5%
2024. 11. 29.U.S. livestock: Feeder cattle hit highest levels since July+0.7%
2019. 4. 18.U.S. livestock: Deferred hog futures set contract highs for fourth day - Country Guide-0.3%
2025. 1. 8.Six major feeder cattle market factors to watch | The Western Producer+1.4%

비육용 소▲상승현재까지1d +0.7%5d +0.2%20d +4.9%

과거 상승 질병 이벤트 122건 이후, 비육용 소은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.4% 변동(상승 60%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.0%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 +2.0%.

2025. 10. 17.NWS is affecting both sides of border | Western Livestock Journal-4.3%
2025. 3. 28.A cattle industry update from northern Mexico | Western Livestock Journal-0.8%
2026. 6. 5.LIVESTOCK-CME feeder cattle rise to two-week high on screwworm worries | MarketScreener+1.8%
2024. 11. 29.U.S. livestock: Feeder cattle hit highest levels since July-1.5%
2019. 4. 18.U.S. livestock: Deferred hog futures set contract highs for fourth day - Country Guide-1.2%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

돈육 (Lean Hogs) HOGS · GP ▸

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생우 LCATTLE · GP ▸

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