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Natural gas forward prices declined across the board from January 16 to 22 as traders looked past the cold snap to an adequately supplied market. February prompt prices fell by an average of 53.2 cents, with Rockies and Northwest hubs leading the drop.
Freeze-offs peaked at 8.9 Bcf during Winter Storm Enzo, about half the scale of January 2024's losses.
Forward curve weakness signals the market expects adequate supply through winter and summer, which keeps forward energy costs contained for feed mills. The limited freeze-off losses reinforce that outlook.
naturalgasintel.comAndrew Baker2025. 1. 23.과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 104건 이후, 천연가스은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -7.8% 변동(상승 22%; 중간 50% 범위 -14.8%~-0.8%), 20거래일 동안 -3.3%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Forward prices fell as traders looked past the cold snap to an adequately supplied market, with freeze-offs about half the 2024 scale, which eased supply-risk premium.
