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2022. 7. 1.거시말레이시아

Palm oil falls 4% on recession fears, higher supply outlook - Markets

Malaysian palm oil futures fell 4.2% to 4,703 ringgit a tonne on recession fears that hit edible oils, after an intraday drop of about 7%. Malaysia's June exports fell between 7.4% and 13.4% from May as shipments to India and the EU slowed.

Palm later recovered some losses when crude oil rose on supply outages in Libya and Norway.

중요한 이유

Recession fears reduce demand for edible oils and biodiesel, while weaker Malaysian exports add to the supply overhang. Stronger crude oil could support palm by making it more competitive as biodiesel feedstock.

영향 대상팜유▼대두유▼원유 (WTI)▲

출처 1건
brecorder.comReuters2022. 7. 1.

가격 반응 및 이력

팜유▼하락현재까지1d -15.2%5d -24.3%20d -29.0%

과거 하락 거시 이벤트 51건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -1.3% 변동(상승 35%; 중간 50% 범위 -4.1%~+1.1%), 20거래일 동안 -1.8%.

2022. 9. 28.Palm hits lowest in over 1-1/2 years as recession fears dent demand - Markets - Business Recorder-4.7%
2022. 3. 16.Palm extends losses - Markets - Business Recorder+1.1%
2020. 2. 28.Asian palm oil market drops 5.7% on coronavirus fears | S&P Global-4.9%
2026. 2. 4.Palm oil prices on roller coaster amid bullish outlook but soft fundamentals | Mysteel-1.6%
2021. 8. 19.Falling oil prices increase pressure on oilseed markets+0.3%

대두유▼하락현재까지1d -2.6%5d -7.8%20d -10.0%

과거 하락 거시 이벤트 40건 이후, 대두유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.8% 변동(상승 45%; 중간 50% 범위 -4.5%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 -1.5%.

2022. 9. 28.Palm hits lowest in over 1-1/2 years as recession fears dent demand - Markets - Business Recorder+2.6%
2022. 3. 16.Palm extends losses - Markets - Business Recorder+1.2%
2020. 2. 28.Asian palm oil market drops 5.7% on coronavirus fears | S&P Global+0.9%
2021. 8. 19.Falling oil prices increase pressure on oilseed markets-4.3%
2020. 2. 25.Crude palm oil futures hit 4-month low on uncertain market sentiment | Malay Mail-3.1%

원유 (WTI)▲상승현재까지1d +2.4%5d -0.9%20d -6.2%

과거 상승 거시 이벤트 487건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +1.0% 변동(상승 60%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.0%~+4.0%), 20거래일 동안 +1.5%.

2021. 5. 28.Canadian dollar falls as investors weigh US inflation surge - Markets - Business Recorder+4.1%
2023. 4. 3.Palm posts biggest jump in two months after crude oil rally - Markets - Business Recorder+5.4%
2021. 2. 24.Canadian dollar notches 3-year high as oil climbs - Markets - Business Recorder-3.2%
2026. 9. 28.Asian currencies: Thai baht hits two-month low as oil prices surge - Markets - Business Recorder+9.1%
2021. 11. 5.Canadian dollar steadies as jobs gain supports rate hike bets - Markets - Business Recorder+3.4%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

연관 가격 변동

팜유-26.0%5개 기간 · 2022. 7. 5.까지-9.8σ
4% drop on July 1 on recession fears and a higher supply outlook, with weaker June exports to India and the EU.
팜유-15.2%1개 기간 · 2022. 6. 30.까지-9.2σ
Recession fears hit edible oils with an intraday drop of ~7%, alongside weaker June Malaysian exports and a higher supply outlook, matching the window's sharp selloff.
대두유-7.1%1개 기간 · 2022. 7. 4.까지-5.2σ
July 1 recession fears and a higher supply outlook hit edible oils, setting up the weak sentiment that carried into the July 4 soyoil drop.
팜유-10.5%1개 기간 · 2022. 7. 4.까지-3.9σ
Recession fears and weaker June Malaysian exports hit edible oils just before the move, adding demand-side and sentiment pressure.

팜유 PALMOIL · GP ▸

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대두유 SBO · GP ▸

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