◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2018. 11. 27.질병중국

Crop drop: China swine fever outbreak to curb its soybean imports

Reuters reports China's soybean imports are set to drop as African swine fever hits its large pig herd and reduces feed demand. The outbreak also makes it easier for buyers to keep avoiding U.S. cargoes amid the trade war.

중요한 이유

Weaker Chinese demand and continued avoidance of U.S. cargoes are bearish for soybeans and soymeal prices.

영향 대상대두▼대두박▼

출처 1건
reuters.comNaveen Thukral2018. 11. 27.

가격 반응 및 이력

대두▼하락현재까지1d +1.5%5d +5.0%20d +0.9%

과거 하락 질병 이벤트 50건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.5% 변동(상승 58%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+2.4%), 20거래일 동안 +0.0%.

2019. 3. 12.Swine fever hurts China soybean demand, raises doubts on trade promises+3.2%
2018. 9. 11.African Swine Fever May Reduce China's Soybean Demand-1.2%
2018. 8. 27.China's soybean, soymeal futures fall on African swine fever worries-1.1%
2019. 1. 17.China soybean imports show US farmers have more to fear than trade war+2.4%
2018. 11. 1.Effects from African swine fever may reduce China's soybean needs.+3.4%

대두박▼하락현재까지1d +0.6%5d +3.0%20d +0.1%

과거 하락 질병 이벤트 167건 이후, 대두박은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.6% 변동(상승 40%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.8%~+1.4%), 20거래일 동안 -0.8%.

2019. 6. 6.China’s African swine fever outbreak is unprecedented | Vox+0.6%
2021. 6. 21.Swine Fever Variants Lead to Mass Outbreaks Across China - Caixin Global-5.5%
2019. 3. 12.Swine fever hurts China soybean demand, raises doubts on trade promises+4.4%
2018. 9. 11.African Swine Fever May Reduce China's Soybean Demand-4.1%
2019. 7. 3.Swine fever: How is Asia coping with the outbreak?+1.8%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

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