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Analyst Dorab Mistry forecast Malaysia's 2019 palm oil output would rise to 20 million tonnes, up from 19.5 million tonnes previously. Malaysian output for January to March set monthly records, but he expects aging trees to limit production later in 2019.
Mistry also kept his Indonesian forecast at 44 million tonnes.
Higher Malaysian and Indonesian output forecasts point to ample palm supply that could cap prices. Limits from aging trees may offer some support later in the year.
thehindubusinessline.comReuters2019. 4. 29.과거 하락 보고서 이벤트 96건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.1% 변동(상승 48%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.3%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 -0.9%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Same Mistry output forecast raise reported by another outlet; higher supply expectations pressured futures.
Mistry's upgrade of 2019 Malaysian output to 20 million tonnes signals higher supply and stocks, which could have sustained bearish pressure into May 1, though it was published several days earlier.
Same output upgrade report from Mistry that fed bearish supply expectations early in the window.
The raised Malaysian 2019 output forecast to 20 million tonnes and record Q1 output reinforced the bearish supply narrative behind the selloff.
