◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2019. 2. 26.날씨글로벌

WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (February 2019) - World

The WMO February 2019 update says east-central tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures were at or slightly below El Niño thresholds in January and February. Some atmospheric indicators reached weak El Niño levels in late January and February, and about two thirds of models predict a return to weak El Niño in Q2 2019.

The chance of El Niño during March-May 2019 is put at 50-60%, while the chance of a strong event is low.

중요한 이유

A likely weak El Niño in the coming months points to a risk of drought in parts of Asia, Australia and Southern Africa, which could support grain and palm oil prices. The strength of the event remains uncertain, which limits the price impact for now.

영향 대상옥수수 대두 밀 (SRW)팜유

출처 1건
reliefweb.int2019. 2. 26.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.7%5d -1.5%20d +0.9%

과거 날씨 이벤트 2,467건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.6%.

2017. 2. 15.El Niño/La Niña Update (15 February 2017) - World | ReliefWeb+0.1%
2019. 5. 27.WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2019) - World | ReliefWeb+3.4%
2019. 9. 2.WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2019) - World | ReliefWeb-2.8%
2026. 5. 29.WMO: El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2026) - World | ReliefWeb-5.3%
2017. 7. 7.WMO El Niño/La Niña Update, 7 July 2017 - World | ReliefWeb-4.4%

대두방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.9%5d -0.9%20d -0.6%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,964건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2017. 2. 15.El Niño/La Niña Update (15 February 2017) - World | ReliefWeb-2.1%
2019. 5. 27.WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2019) - World | ReliefWeb+5.9%
2019. 9. 2.WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2019) - World | ReliefWeb-1.4%
2026. 5. 29.WMO: El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2026) - World | ReliefWeb-5.4%
2020. 2. 5.El Niño/La Niña Update (February 2020)+0.6%

밀 (SRW)방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.2%5d +0.8%20d +5.2%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,773건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

2026. 3. 3.El Niño/La Niña Update (February 2026) - World | ReliefWeb+1.8%
2017. 2. 15.El Niño/La Niña Update (15 February 2017) - World | ReliefWeb-0.9%
2019. 9. 2.WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2019) - World | ReliefWeb-2.3%
2026. 5. 29.WMO: El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2026) - World | ReliefWeb-3.0%
2017. 7. 7.WMO El Niño/La Niña Update, 7 July 2017 - World | ReliefWeb-1.7%

팜유방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.2%5d -4.7%20d -5.6%

과거 날씨 이벤트 361건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.3%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

2026. 3. 3.El Niño/La Niña Update (February 2026) - World | ReliefWeb+6.5%
2017. 2. 15.El Niño/La Niña Update (15 February 2017) - World | ReliefWeb-3.7%
2019. 5. 27.WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2019) - World | ReliefWeb-0.1%
2019. 9. 2.WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2019) - World | ReliefWeb+0.8%
2026. 5. 29.WMO: El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2026) - World | ReliefWeb+0.6%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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