◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2019. 2. 19.날씨글로벌

IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2019 February Quick Look

The IRI's February 2019 ENSO update says tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures cooled to borderline El Niño levels in January and early February, while subsurface waters stayed warmer than average. Atmospheric El Niño patterns developed in late January and February.

The official CPC/IRI outlook carries an El Niño advisory, with a 65% chance of El Niño during Feb-Apr falling to 50% for Apr-Jun.

중요한 이유

El Niño raises the risk of drought in parts of Asia, Australia and Southern Africa and of uneven rain in South America, which can tighten supplies of grains and oilseeds. Traders may price in a higher weather premium if the event strengthens.

영향 대상옥수수 대두 밀 (SRW)팜유

출처 1건
iri.columbia.edu2019. 2. 19.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.8%5d +0.2%20d +1.4%

과거 날씨 이벤트 2,467건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.6%.

2018. 2. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2018 February Quick Look-0.1%
2020. 2. 18.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2020 February Quick Look-1.7%
2025. 2. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | February 2025 Quick Look-5.4%
2019. 3. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2019 March Quick Look-0.3%
2019. 6. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2019 June Quick Look+1.3%

대두방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.7%5d +0.5%20d -0.2%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,964건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2018. 2. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2018 February Quick Look+1.2%
2025. 2. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | February 2025 Quick Look-0.7%
2020. 2. 18.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2020 February Quick Look-2.2%
2019. 1. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2019 January Quick Look+0.7%
2019. 3. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2019 March Quick Look+0.1%

밀 (SRW)방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.5%5d -3.8%20d -0.5%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,773건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

2018. 2. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2018 February Quick Look-0.6%
2025. 2. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | February 2025 Quick Look-0.7%
2020. 2. 18.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2020 February Quick Look-0.9%
2019. 1. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2019 January Quick Look+3.3%
2019. 3. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2019 March Quick Look+1.7%

팜유방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +0.2%5d -0.2%20d -6.7%

과거 날씨 이벤트 361건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.3%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

2020. 2. 18.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2020 February Quick Look-2.1%
2025. 2. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | February 2025 Quick Look+1.1%
2019. 1. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2019 January Quick Look+1.3%
2019. 4. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2019 April Quick Look-0.4%
2019. 6. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2019 June Quick Look-0.1%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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