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Diesel prices could jump more than 20% overnight after drone strikes on Saudi Arabia removed nearly half of its oil production, about 5% of global supply. Oil futures opened Sunday evening with first trades up more than 20%.
The national average ULSD truckstop price was $2.98 a gallon, and officials said restoration could take weeks.
A roughly 5% overnight global supply shock is historically large and pushes diesel and freight costs sharply higher. Fuel surcharges and hauling costs for feed and grain shipments would rise quickly.
freightwaves.comCraig Fuller, CEO at FreightWaves2019. 9. 16.과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 250건 이후, ULSD / 디젤은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +1.7% 변동(상승 58%; 중간 50% 범위 -3.6%~+8.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.
과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 656건 이후, 원유 (Brent)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +1.9% 변동(상승 63%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.7%~+6.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.
과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 626건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +2.1% 변동(상승 62%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.3%~+8.5%), 20거래일 동안 +1.6%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Notes oil futures opened Sunday evening up more than 20% on the Saudi outage.
Shows futures opening more than 20% higher on the loss of nearly half of Saudi output, consistent with the supply shock.
Notes oil futures opened Sunday evening sharply higher after the Saudi strikes, indicating the expected pass-through to diesel, but it is mostly forward-looking commentary.
