◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2019. 5. 21.날씨미국

Smaller corn, soybean yields expected as wet weather persists in Midwest

USDA Crop Progress data showed corn and soybean planting behind schedule in 17 of 18 key states, with corn 49% planted versus a normal 80% as of May 20. AccuWeather estimates the 2019 corn crop at 14.2 billion bushels and soybeans at 4.1 billion bushels, both below USDA estimates.

중요한 이유

Persistent planting delays and below-trend crop estimates point to tighter feed grain and soymeal supplies, which supports prices for buyers.

영향 대상옥수수▲대두▲대두박▲

출처 1건
upi.comJohn Roach, Accuweather.com2019. 5. 21.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수▲상승현재까지1d +0.8%5d +2.4%20d +10.9%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,465건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

2019. 12. 3.Michigan expects lowest corn, soybean crop yields in over a decade - mlive.com-3.7%
2024. 11. 13.August Through October Weather Affected Corn, Soybean Yields-0.5%
2019. 1. 18.Soybeans Close Higher as Hot Weather Persists in Brazil-0.5%
2026. 5. 29.Will Midwest Dryness Hurt Corn and Soybean Yields This Summer?-5.3%
2021. 1. 5.Dry weather expected to keep pressuring Argentine soy, corn yields - Markets - Business Recorder+3.1%

대두▲상승현재까지1d -1.2%5d +2.9%20d +9.8%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,079건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

2019. 12. 3.Michigan expects lowest corn, soybean crop yields in over a decade - mlive.com+3.1%
2024. 11. 13.August Through October Weather Affected Corn, Soybean Yields-0.5%
2019. 1. 18.Soybeans Close Higher as Hot Weather Persists in Brazil+1.9%
2026. 5. 29.Will Midwest Dryness Hurt Corn and Soybean Yields This Summer?-5.4%
2021. 1. 5.Dry weather expected to keep pressuring Argentine soy, corn yields - Markets - Business Recorder+4.4%

대두박▲상승현재까지1d -0.7%5d +5.2%20d +8.3%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 453건 이후, 대두박은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.5% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+2.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.5%.

2019. 1. 18.Soybeans Close Higher as Hot Weather Persists in Brazil+0.5%
2021. 1. 5.Dry weather expected to keep pressuring Argentine soy, corn yields - Markets - Business Recorder+5.3%
2023. 11. 1.I-80 Harvest Tour: Widespread Drought in Minnesota Cuts Yields, But Corn Still Better Than Expected - AgWeb+3.7%
2022. 7. 29.Soybeans set for biggest weekly gain in 22 years as U.S. Midwest heats up | Financial Post+4.2%
2021. 9. 30.Western Corn Belt farmer says recent heat wave has affected soybean yields | News-Talk 1230 KFJB-4.5%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

연관 가격 변동

대두박+10.2%5개 기간 · 2019. 5. 29.까지5.4σ
Planting behind schedule in 17 of 18 key states and lower yield estimates raise US supply concerns, supporting soybean and meal prices.
대두박+4.1%1개 기간 · 2019. 5. 27.까지4.2σ
USDA Crop Progress showed planting well behind schedule and AccuWeather cut yield estimates, which tightens expected supply and supports meal prices.
대두+8.2%5개 기간 · 2019. 5. 29.까지3.9σ
Planting behind in 17 of 18 states and projections of smaller crops tightened expected supply.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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