Oil slips 0.4% on dim OPEC demand forecast after early jump on Gulf of Mexico storm

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 40건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +1.6% 변동(상승 63%; 중간 50% 범위 -3.7%~+5.3%), 20거래일 동안 +6.1%.

• 2020. 9. 15.Oil jumps nearly 3% as Gulf Coast storm forces output cuts+5.5%
• 2024. 9. 12.Oil rises 2% as storm batters US Gulf of Mexico production+5.3%
• 2024. 11. 5.Oil prices edge up on Gulf of Mexico storm ahead of US election results-2.7%
• 2020. 10. 27.Oil jumps more than 2% on U.S. Gulf shutdowns-4.6%
• 2018. 10. 10.Hurricane knocks out 42 percent of U.S. Gulf of Mexico oil output-4.0%

과거 날씨 이벤트 37건 이후, 원유 (Brent)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +2.2% 변동(상승 62%; 중간 50% 범위 -3.5%~+5.1%), 20거래일 동안 +4.9%.

• 2024. 9. 13.Oil eases on resuming US output after storm, rising rig count | Reuters+3.5%
• 2023. 6. 22.Analyst Insight: Rapeseed market influences – where next for soyabeans? | AHDB-4.1%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 39건 이후, ULSD / 디젤은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +2.4% 변동(상승 59%; 중간 50% 범위 -4.5%~+6.1%), 20거래일 동안 +8.9%.

• 2026. 1. 26.ULSD Rises Amid Winter Storm, Oil Slips on Output Returns+9.4%
• 2017. 8. 30.Crude slips, gasoline jumps as storm shuts a fifth of US fuel output+5.7%
• 2024. 12. 30.Diesel benchmark up slightly; futures market soars on forecast of extreme cold - FreightWaves+5.6%
• 2020. 8. 23.Oil Gains as U.S. Gulf Output and Refineries Halted Before Storm - Bloomberg+0.4%
• 2024. 12. 30.Oil rises on diesel demand boost in sparse holiday trade | Reuters+5.6%