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2025. 3. 17.날씨미국

U.S. grains: Wheat climbs on fears of wind damage to US crop

Chicago wheat futures surged on Monday as wind storms and tornadoes in the US Midwest and Plains raised concerns about crop damage. Traders also cited expected reduced Russian wheat exports and a weaker dollar, with the most active wheat contract settling up 11.5 cents at $5.68.5 a bushel.

Soybeans ticked down on lower-than-expected NOPA crush numbers while corn edged higher.

중요한 이유

Possible wind damage to US winter wheat and tighter Russian export supply support wheat prices and could draw export demand toward US supplies. A weaker dollar makes US grain cheaper abroad, supporting the broader feed grain complex.

영향 대상밀 (SRW)▲밀 (HRW)▲옥수수▲대두▼대두박▼

출처 1건
agcanada.comAGCanada2025. 3. 17.

가격 반응 및 이력

밀 (SRW)▲상승현재까지1d +5.6%5d +5.3%20d +2.5%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,072건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2021. 2. 17.U.S. grains: Wheat climbs to one-week high on frigid U.S. weather - AgCanada+0.8%
2017. 9. 27.U.S. grains: Wheat rises to one-month top on technical buying - AgCanada+6.0%
2022. 1. 19.U.S. grains: Wheat, corn rally to highest since December - AgCanada+1.9%
2021. 7. 28.Wheat climbs on signs of drought damage in northern U.S. Plains | Financial Post+2.7%
2018. 4. 3.U.S. grains: Wheat surges as USDA says crop conditions worst since 2002 - AgCanada+1.0%

밀 (HRW)▲상승현재까지1d +5.6%5d +2.7%20d -1.0%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 322건 이후, 밀 (HRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.1% 변동(상승 49%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.5%~+3.2%), 20거래일 동안 +1.0%.

2021. 2. 17.U.S. grains: Wheat climbs to one-week high on frigid U.S. weather - AgCanada+0.5%
2017. 9. 27.U.S. grains: Wheat rises to one-month top on technical buying - AgCanada-2.3%
2022. 1. 19.U.S. grains: Wheat, corn rally to highest since December - AgCanada+8.0%
2018. 4. 3.U.S. grains: Wheat surges as USDA says crop conditions worst since 2002 - AgCanada+11.8%
2018. 5. 22.U.S. grains: Wheat rallies on Plains dryness, technical buying - AgCanada+5.7%

옥수수▲상승현재까지1d +6.9%5d +7.3%20d +7.8%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,465건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

2021. 2. 17.U.S. grains: Wheat climbs to one-week high on frigid U.S. weather - AgCanada+0.3%
2022. 1. 19.U.S. grains: Wheat, corn rally to highest since December - AgCanada+2.1%
2021. 7. 28.Wheat climbs on signs of drought damage in northern U.S. Plains | Financial Post+0.3%
2018. 4. 3.U.S. grains: Wheat surges as USDA says crop conditions worst since 2002 - AgCanada+0.7%
2018. 5. 22.U.S. grains: Wheat rallies on Plains dryness, technical buying - AgCanada+0.7%

대두▼하락현재까지1d +1.6%5d +1.1%20d +4.4%

과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 363건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.6% 변동(상승 42%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.5%~+1.1%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

2019. 9. 11.U.S. grains: Soybeans, corn ease on crop-boosting weather - AgCanada+4.0%
2017. 3. 7.U.S. grains: Soy, corn fall on Brazil crop expectations - AgCanada-3.0%
2019. 7. 2.U.S. grains: Corn, soy ease on warmer weather - AgCanada-0.3%
2021. 6. 17.U.S. grains: Corn, soy plunge on weather, broad commodities sell-off - AgCanada-4.4%
2017. 10. 30.U.S. grains: Soybeans retreat on Brazil rains, technical selling - AgCanada+0.2%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

연관 가격 변동

밀 (SRW)+4.4%1개 기간 · 2025. 3. 17.까지6.1σ
Directly describes the 2025-03-17 Chicago wheat surge on wind storm/tornado crop damage fears, reduced Russian exports and a weaker dollar, matching the move's timing and size.
밀 (HRW)+5.6%1개 기간 · 2025. 3. 16.까지3.3σ
Wheat surged on Monday 3/17 (the move date) on wind and tornado crop-damage fears, reduced Russian export expectations and a weaker dollar, which directly explain the large one-day gain.
옥수수+8.0%5개 기간 · 2025. 3. 19.까지3.2σ
The March 17 wheat surge on wind and crop-damage fears, a weaker dollar and lower Russian exports pulled corn higher through grain-complex spillover.

밀 (SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

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밀 (HRW) KWHEAT · GP ▸

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