China's 'market condition' caveat on U.S. ag purchases adds to trade deal doubts

과거 하락 무역 이벤트 803건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

• 2021. 12. 23.China to fall short on promises to U.S. as trade deal ends-0.1%
• 2022. 2. 8.U.S. December trade data reveals massive shortfall in China's 'Phase 1' purchases-0.7%
• 2025. 9. 25.US-Argentine Deal Adds to Farm Groups' Frustration Over Lack of Chinese Purchases+0.4%
• 2020. 10. 27.Trump's phase one trade deal with China and the US election | PIIE-3.4%
• 2026. 4. 25.Trump Administration Adjusts China Soybean Purchase Deadline as Officials Clarify Timeline Confusion | MarketSpy+2.1%

과거 하락 무역 이벤트 683건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

• 2021. 12. 23.China to fall short on promises to U.S. as trade deal ends-0.7%
• 2023. 4. 25.China's move to cancel US corn purchases leaves Asian traders in split-2.4%
• 2022. 2. 8.U.S. December trade data reveals massive shortfall in China's 'Phase 1' purchases+1.9%
• 2020. 10. 27.Trump's phase one trade deal with China and the US election | PIIE-3.7%
• 2026. 6. 1.Explainer: What do China's new US farm purchases mean for global trade?-5.5%

과거 하락 무역 이벤트 375건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.0%~+1.1%), 20거래일 동안 -0.1%.

• 2026. 10. 9.China Needs $1.2B/Week in U.S. Ag Buys to Hit Trade Deal — Agribusiness Wire+4.0%
• 2026. 10. 26.Cash market update: Wheat falls on rising supply despite Black Sea risks as China’s US soybean purchases near 70% of its commitment - Fastmarkets-0.4%
• 2026. 3. 16.CRMAgri - Latest - Soybeans hit limit down on US/ China trade doubts-2.8%
• 2018. 7. 9.As Tariffs Bite, China Cancels U.S. Soy Deals and Hunt Is on for New Export Markets-1.9%
• 2023. 4. 24.US corn falls after China cancels purchases; drags wheat, soy lower-8.3%