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2020. 3. 16.날씨브라질

AgRural reduces soybean forecast for 19/20 crop due to drought in Rio Grande do Sul

AgRural cut its 2019/20 Brazil soybean crop estimate to 124.3 million tons from 125.6 million, due to drought in Rio Grande do Sul. Brazil is set for its lowest soybean productivity since 2011/12, though other states partly offset the losses.

Harvest was 59% complete by March 12, slightly ahead of the five-year average.

중요한 이유

A smaller Brazilian soybean crop reduces export supply and supports soybean and meal prices, especially as Brazil is the main competitor to U.S. exports. The effect is moderated by offsetting gains elsewhere in Brazil.

영향 대상대두▲대두박▲

출처 1건
datamarnews.com2020. 3. 16.

가격 반응 및 이력

대두▲상승현재까지1d -3.0%5d +1.9%20d +0.9%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,079건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

2023. 3. 8.Drought affects crops in Rio Grande do Sul-1.7%
2025. 3. 12.Drought shrinks soybean crops, wiping R$13bn from Rio Grande do Sul economy+1.5%
2019. 2. 6.Drought takes toll on soybean harvest in Goiás but spares Paraná - DatamarNews-0.3%
2022. 1. 17.Brazil’s Drought Reduces Grain Harvest Forecasts+3.4%
2023. 9. 4.Crop tour sees lower soybean estimates due to drought, record heat | World Grain-0.3%

대두박▲상승현재까지1d +0.1%5d +9.9%20d -2.5%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 453건 이후, 대두박은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.5% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+2.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.5%.

2023. 3. 8.Drought affects crops in Rio Grande do Sul-1.9%
2025. 3. 12.Drought shrinks soybean crops, wiping R$13bn from Rio Grande do Sul economy+1.6%
2019. 2. 6.Drought takes toll on soybean harvest in Goiás but spares Paraná - DatamarNews-0.1%
2022. 1. 17.Brazil’s Drought Reduces Grain Harvest Forecasts-9.7%
2023. 4. 24.Argentina Soybean Crop Smallest in 25 Years Due to Historic Drought - AgWeb-1.9%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

대두 SOY · GP ▸

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대두박 SBM · GP ▸

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