
The USDA July WASDE set 2020-21 US corn production near 15 billion bushels, in line with expectations after a 5.6 million acre drop in harvested area. Corn ending stocks were cut 675 million bushels to 2.648 billion, while old-crop stocks rose 145 million bushels, and world corn ending stocks fell 22.9 million tonnes to 315 million.
US soybean production came in at 4.135 billion bushels, slightly below trade guesses.
Lower new-crop corn stocks signal tighter supply, but traders still see 2.6 billion bushels as a large burden, so corn prices reacted bearishly. Soybean output slightly below expectations offers modest support for feed meal pricing.
과거 하락 보고서 이벤트 1,102건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.8%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.0%.
과거 중립 보고서 이벤트 563건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.1% 변동(상승 48%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 -0.1%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Agweek reports a bearish market reaction to the July 10 WASDE, since production was in line with expectations and old-crop stocks rose, so the supply cut was already priced in and selling followed.