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StoneX fertilizer VP Josh Linville said Iran's attack on Israel added to an already tight urea market where many countries had sharply cut exports. He reported urea barge load prices were up 10% that week, with anhydrous and UAN values following.
He warned that any Middle East conflict would significantly affect global fertilizer supply.
The Middle East and North Africa supply about half of traded urea, so regional conflict tightens global nitrogen supply and raises input costs. Higher fertilizer prices pressure farm margins and can shift acreage away from corn.
brownfieldagnews.comJared White2024. 10. 2.과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 323건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.5% 변동(상승 57%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+2.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.
과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 205건 이후, 요소은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.4% 변동(상승 53%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.1%~+3.0%), 20거래일 동안 -0.4%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Iran's attack on Israel on a tight urea market raised supply-disruption fears and lifted barge prices about 10% that week, a direct sentiment and supply driver of the 1 Oct-3 Oct jump.
Iran's attack on Israel on Oct 1-2 added a risk premium to an already tight urea market, with barge prices reportedly up sharply, which fits the 1-day jump.
