
A study led by researchers at UNICAMP's Center for Environmental Studies, supported by FAPESP and the Belmont Forum, finds that climate change could expose Brazil's safrinha (second-crop) corn to extreme drought. The crop is planted after the summer soybean and corn harvest and grown between January and April in the Center-West, Southeast and South.
The findings point to rising risk for agribusiness productivity and export leadership.
A higher drought risk for Brazil's second-crop corn could tighten export supplies later in the year and support corn prices. The effect is long-term research rather than an immediate production shock, so the current price impact is limited.
과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,465건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.