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Dairy product prices on the CME fell through June after US tariffs on Mexican steel and aluminum and on some Chinese goods triggered retaliation. Mexico announced a tariff on US cheese, and China targeted some dairy products along with corn and soybeans.
Cheddar barrels fell from $1.59 in early June to $1.32 by end-June.
Mexico is the largest export market for US cheese, so retaliatory tariffs cut export demand and pressure domestic dairy prices. Feed buyers should expect weaker milk and dairy-byproduct pricing while the trade dispute continues.
farmprogress.comFran O'Leary2018. 7. 2.과거 하락 무역 이벤트 49건 이후, 우유 (Class III)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.3% 변동(상승 39%; 중간 50% 범위 -4.7%~+1.5%), 20거래일 동안 -0.4%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Retaliatory Mexican and Chinese tariffs on US dairy cut export demand and pushed cheese barrels sharply lower, directly pressuring Class III futures.
Trade dispute with Mexico and China retaliatory tariffs on cheese drove cheese prices lower through June, lowering Class III value.
Trade dispute retaliation drove cheese price declines through June, setting up weakness carried into the window.
