ECB in ‘Currency War’ Over Euro, Commerzbank Strategist Says

과거 하락 거시 이벤트 533건 이후, 유로 (EUR당 USD)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.3% 변동(상승 33%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.2%~+0.2%), 20거래일 동안 -0.5%.

• 2025. 4. 24.ECB's Rehn says central bank may need to lower interest rates, Bloomberg News reports-0.0%
• 2022. 6. 9.Euro Traders Signal Skepticism Over ECB’s Rate-Hike Plans - Bloomberg-3.3%
• 2024. 3. 28.Currency Markets: A Decline in the Euro to Parity With the Dollar Beckons - Bloomberg+0.1%
• 2026. 6. 28.Euro’s Run Looks Over as Wall Street Targets Slide Toward $1.10 - Bloomberg+0.2%
• 2024. 11. 12.(EUR/USD) Euro Parity With Dollar Is the Big New Call by Currency Analysts - Bloomberg-1.2%

과거 상승 거시 이벤트 2,356건 이후, 미국 달러 (광의 지수)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 60%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.3%~+0.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.4%.

• 2024. 3. 28.Currency Markets: A Decline in the Euro to Parity With the Dollar Beckons - Bloomberg+0.0%
• 2026. 6. 28.Euro’s Run Looks Over as Wall Street Targets Slide Toward $1.10 - Bloomberg-0.0%
• 2021. 6. 18.Goldman’s Currie Says Buy Commodities Dip, Bull Case Intact - Bloomberg-0.2%
• 2025. 9. 17.Dollar Boost From Fed to Weigh on Asian Currencies, Analysts Say - Bloomberg+0.4%
• 2024. 4. 9.ECB-Fed Rates Split Ignites Talk of Euro Sliding to Dollar Parity - Bloomberg+1.4%