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2021. 4. 1.지정학글로벌

OPEC Supply Rises as Iran Rebound Complicates Balancing Task

OPEC crude production rose by 300,000 bpd in March to an average of 25.33 million bpd, according to a Bloomberg survey. Most of the increase came from returning supplies from Iran and Libya.

중요한 이유

Rebounding Iranian and Libyan barrels add to global supply and make OPEC's balancing task harder, which is bearish for crude prices. The effect is a monthly supply shift that is relatively small.

영향 대상원유 (WTI)▼원유 (Brent)▼

출처 1건
bloomberg.comGrant Smith, Julian Lee2021. 4. 1.

가격 반응 및 이력

원유 (WTI)▼하락현재까지1d +3.8%5d +0.7%20d +9.8%

과거 하락 지정학 이벤트 255건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -2.4% 변동(상승 31%; 중간 50% 범위 -7.0%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 -5.0%.

2025. 8. 2.OPEC+ Agrees in Principle to Another Bumper Supply Increase - Bloomberg-5.1%
2025. 5. 27.Oil prices ease as US-Iran talks, OPEC+ plans spur supply concerns+0.9%
2026. 3. 10.Oil Drops 15% as Leaders Move to Contain Supply Shock From Iran War - Bloomberg-1.3%
2018. 9. 21.Exclusive - OPEC and allies consider oil output boost as Iranian supply falls: source | Reuters+1.9%
2026. 10. 29.Oil falls as efforts to revive US-Iran talks ease supply concerns-2.3%

원유 (Brent)▼하락현재까지1d +1.3%5d -1.4%20d +7.7%

과거 하락 지정학 이벤트 250건 이후, 원유 (Brent)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -3.1% 변동(상승 36%; 중간 50% 범위 -7.9%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 -5.5%.

2025. 8. 2.OPEC+ Agrees in Principle to Another Bumper Supply Increase - Bloomberg-4.6%
2025. 5. 27.Oil prices ease as US-Iran talks, OPEC+ plans spur supply concerns+0.8%
2026. 3. 10.Oil Drops 15% as Leaders Move to Contain Supply Shock From Iran War - Bloomberg+4.1%
2018. 9. 21.Exclusive - OPEC and allies consider oil output boost as Iranian supply falls: source | Reuters+3.5%
2026. 10. 29.Oil falls as efforts to revive US-Iran talks ease supply concerns-5.4%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

원유 (WTI) WTI · GP ▸

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원유 (Brent) BRENT · GP ▸

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