NMPF reported component-adjusted milk production rose 3.1% in May, with dairy exports up 14% on a milk solids basis. Heat stress cut milk collections about 11% in France and 8% in Germany, and drought is raising doubts about crop yields.
Drought and feed cost increases could tighten milk supply and lift dairy margins, while rising grain costs squeeze feed budgets. Heat-driven EU output losses may support global dairy prices.
과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 32건 이후, 우유 (Class III)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 50%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.7%~+3.4%), 20거래일 동안 +3.2%.
과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,465건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.
과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,079건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Published Aug 4, just before the move; European heat stress cut milk collections, drought raised crop-yield concerns and exports were up 14%, a supply and demand backdrop supportive of Class III prices.
Heat stress cutting European milk collections, strong exports, and drought-driven feed cost worries support higher milk prices via supply and demand.
Dated the same day as the move; it cites heat-stress cuts to European milk collections, strong export demand and drought-driven feed worries, all supportive of milk prices, though the news is not clearly new.