◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2021. 6. 30.보고서미국

Corn, soy extend rally after USDA acreage surprise

Chicago corn rose more than 3% and soybeans rallied after USDA acreage data came in below trade expectations, with corn planting at 92.692 million acres and soybeans at 87.555 million. Hot, dry weather in northern and western growing areas added supply concerns.

Wheat edged higher as the rally in corn and soybeans offset pressure from winter wheat harvest.

중요한 이유

Lower-than-expected US acreage and heat risk tighten the outlook for corn and soybean supplies, raising feed grain and meal costs for buyers. Weather remains the key price driver through the growing season.

영향 대상밀 (SRW)◆옥수수▲대두▲대두박▲

출처 2건
apnews.comThe Associated Press2021. 6. 30.
financialpost.comReuters2021. 7. 1.

가격 반응 및 이력

밀 (SRW)◆중립현재까지1d +0.8%5d -1.7%20d -4.2%

과거 중립 보고서 이벤트 406건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+1.5%), 20거래일 동안 +0.0%.

2026. 4. 10.USDA Raises Wheat, Corn and Soy Price Estimates - Farm Policy News+3.8%
2024. 11. 8.USDA Surprisingly Lowers Corn and Soybean Yield and Ending Stocks in WASDE - AgWeb-1.6%
2019. 8. 13.USDA springs further surprise in crop report | Farm Online | ACT-1.7%
2017. 3. 29.Soybeans down, corn up after USDA numbers - Brownfield Ag News+0.3%
2020. 11. 6.French soft wheat sowing 76% complete by Nov. 2 | Financial Post+0.0%

옥수수▲상승현재까지1d +2.2%5d -0.4%20d -10.6%

과거 상승 보고서 이벤트 1,040건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.5% 변동(상승 62%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.9%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +0.8%.

2020. 6. 30.Corn, soy climb on smaller-than-expected USDA acreage view | Financial Post+3.3%
2021. 6. 30.Smaller-than-expected U.S. corn, soy acreage stokes price rally-0.4%
2019. 9. 10.Lower U.S. crop condition rating lifts corn, soy and wheat also rise | Financial Post+6.7%
2022. 2. 24.USDA cuts corn, raises soy and wheat acreage for 2022+6.5%
2020. 9. 30.Corn, soy, wheat surge on lower-than-expected U.S. grain stocks | Financial Post+1.5%

대두▲상승현재까지1d +6.6%5d +2.0%20d +5.3%

과거 상승 보고서 이벤트 747건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.8%.

2020. 6. 30.Corn, soy climb on smaller-than-expected USDA acreage view | Financial Post+3.3%
2022. 10. 12.Soybeans rally after USDA cuts U.S. harvest outlook | Financial Post-0.3%
2022. 6. 30.Soybeans rebound after USDA pegs U.S. acres below expectations | Financial Post-5.0%
2019. 10. 10.Corn futures fall after higher U.S. yield estimate surprises traders | Financial Post+0.5%
2021. 6. 30.Smaller-than-expected U.S. corn, soy acreage stokes price rally+2.0%

대두박▲상승현재까지1d +6.1%5d +1.8%20d +2.3%

과거 상승 보고서 이벤트 414건 이후, 대두박은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.1% 변동(상승 48%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.1%~+2.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2022. 10. 12.Soybeans rally after USDA cuts U.S. harvest outlook | Financial Post-1.2%
2022. 6. 30.Soybeans rebound after USDA pegs U.S. acres below expectations | Financial Post-0.8%
2019. 10. 10.Corn futures fall after higher U.S. yield estimate surprises traders | Financial Post-0.2%
2021. 6. 30.Smaller-than-expected U.S. corn, soy acreage stokes price rally+1.8%
2022. 2. 9.Rising crush demand sparks cut to U.S. soy supply view | Financial Post-3.3%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

연관 가격 변동

대두+9.2%5개 기간 · 2021. 7. 1.까지2.9σ
Soybean acreage of 87.555M came in below trade expectations on June 30, and hot, dry weather in the north and west added supply concerns, driving the rally.
대두+6.6%1개 기간 · 2021. 6. 29.까지3.6σ
Soybean acreage of 87.555M acres came in below trade expectations, and hot, dry weather in northern growing areas added supply concerns, so soybeans rallied.
대두박+6.1%1개 기간 · 2021. 6. 29.까지4.5σ
Acreage below trade expectations plus hot, dry weather in growing areas fueled a rally in soybeans and corn, which supports meal prices.

밀 (SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

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옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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