Investors look ahead to rate hikes with Fed tapering plan all but certain

과거 상승 거시 이벤트 2,356건 이후, 미국 달러 (광의 지수)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 60%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.3%~+0.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.4%.

• 2021. 12. 14.Investors brace for faster Fed taper, rate hikes next year+0.1%
• 2024. 1. 24.Investors temper US rate cut bets as Fed meeting looms-0.4%
• 2016. 11. 2.The Federal Reserve looks ready to roll with an interest rate hike in December-0.6%
• 2026. 1. 1.Fed sees only one rate cut in 2026; no hike ahead, says Powell+0.3%
• 2026. 9. 16.Canadian dollar hits six-week low as investors bet on additional Fed rate hikes | Reuters+0.6%

과거 하락 거시 이벤트 301건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.1% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.2%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

• 2022. 3. 16.Fed finally moves against inflation with rate hike | Reuters+0.1%
• 2023. 7. 26.Fed lifts rates, Powell leaves door open to another hike in September-13.9%
• 2016. 12. 14.Fed surprises with three rate hikes next year — and could need more-2.5%
• 2017. 6. 14.Fed raises key rate and unveils plan to reduce bond holdings | AP News-2.1%
• 2021. 6. 16.Dollar jumps after Fed pulls interest rate hikes into 2023 | Reuters-2.3%

과거 하락 거시 이벤트 273건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.4% 변동(상승 44%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.4%~+1.4%), 20거래일 동안 -0.5%.

• 2022. 3. 16.Fed finally moves against inflation with rate hike | Reuters+2.3%
• 2023. 7. 26.Fed lifts rates, Powell leaves door open to another hike in September-4.5%
• 2016. 12. 14.Fed surprises with three rate hikes next year — and could need more-2.2%
• 2017. 6. 14.Fed raises key rate and unveils plan to reduce bond holdings | AP News-0.5%
• 2021. 6. 16.Dollar jumps after Fed pulls interest rate hikes into 2023 | Reuters-4.9%