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Veteran analyst Dorab Mistry said palm oil's rally will accelerate as biofuel demand rises while output falls. He suggested Malaysian benchmark futures could reach 2,700 ringgit per ton by March, about 40% above the July low.
He pointed to Indonesia's B30 biodiesel program as the key driver.
Biodiesel mandates divert palm oil away from food and feed uses, tightening supply and supporting prices for palm and other vegetable oils. Higher vegetable oil prices raise the cost of oil-based feed ingredients.
thestar.com.myThe Star Online2019. 11. 1.과거 상승 정책 이벤트 548건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.4% 변동(상승 61%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.7%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.
과거 상승 정책 이벤트 842건 이후, 대두유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 -0.5%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Dorab Mistry's bullish call (2,700 ringgit by March, citing Indonesia's B30 biodiesel demand and falling output) was published on the move date and plausibly fueled buying sentiment.
Same Mistry forecast reported by The Star, reinforcing biodiesel-driven demand and supply-tightness sentiment.
Mistry's bullish call, built on Indonesia's B30 biodiesel demand and falling output, fed sentiment and speculative buying.
Dorab Mistry's bullish call (B30 biofuel demand rising, output falling, 2,700 ringgit target) fed rally sentiment, though published around the move's end date.
