◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2023. 2. 1.날씨글로벌

January 2023 La Niña update, and the ENSO Blog investigates, part 2

NOAA's Climate.gov January update says tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures remain cooler than average, a La Niña signal, though some weakening has appeared. The atmosphere still shows a La Niña-like pattern, with a stronger Walker circulation and more rain over Indonesia.

중요한 이유

A persistent La Niña tends to bring dryness to South America and parts of the US, supporting soy and corn risk premiums. A transition to neutral or El Niño would ease those concerns over the coming months.

영향 대상옥수수◆대두◆

출처 1건
climate.govEmily Becker2023. 2. 1.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수◆중립현재까지1d +0.1%5d +1.2%20d -4.9%

과거 중립 날씨 이벤트 445건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.

2023. 5. 1.April 2023 ENSO update: El Niño Watch+0.3%
2019. 8. 20.El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2019)+1.3%
2026. 1. 29.SovEcon: Russian and global grain market news – January 30, 2026 - The Sizov Report blog-0.3%
2025. 1. 24.La Niña: Anticipatory Action and Response Plan, January 2025 - Mitigating the expected impacts of La Niña‑induced climate extremes on agriculture and food security - World | ReliefWeb-0.2%
2025. 12. 3.WMO Update predicts weak La Niña+0.7%

대두◆중립현재까지1d -1.2%5d -1.5%20d -2.2%

과거 중립 날씨 이벤트 324건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.

2023. 6. 1.May 2023 ENSO update: El Niño knocking on the door+4.7%
2019. 8. 20.El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2019)-0.0%
2025. 12. 3.WMO Update predicts weak La Niña-3.3%
2025. 6. 1.May 2025 ENSO update: eye of neutral+1.5%
2018. 4. 2.WMO El Niño/La Niña Update – March 2018 | La Niña Ready Nations-1.1%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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