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Early signs suggest El Niño will bring a normal Australian wheat crop of roughly 25 to 30 million tonnes, ending a run of record harvests. The weather pattern is expected to bring drier and hotter conditions, although soil moisture is currently good across most of the country.
Historically, El Niño years have produced some of the worst eastern Australian droughts.
A smaller Australian crop would reduce export supply after several record years, which supports wheat prices. The effect depends on how dry the coming season turns out.
fastmarkets.comMasha Belikova2023. 2. 23.과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,072건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
