Black Sea Initiative to keep markets volatile short term: Grain market daily

과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 361건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.7% 변동(상승 58%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+3.7%), 20거래일 동안 +1.3%.

• 2022. 1. 25.Frost risk remains for Black Sea crops: Grain market daily | AHDB-2.1%
• 2024. 11. 27.How much Black Sea wheat is at risk of disruption? Grain market daily | AHDB-0.1%
• 2017. 10. 3.Black Sea attacks revive fears of grain market turmoil - The Daily+4.7%
• 2023. 2. 27.Ukraine seeks changes to the Black Sea Grain Initiative-2.4%
• 2023. 7. 27.Dry Bulk Market: Russia’s Exit from the UN Black Sea Grain Initiative Will Have an Impact on Market - Nautical Voice+0.0%

과거 하락 지정학 이벤트 53건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.3% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.9%~+1.2%), 20거래일 동안 +1.0%.

• 2022. 1. 25.Frost risk remains for Black Sea crops: Grain market daily | AHDB+6.2%
• 2023. 5. 17.Black Sea deal extension sinks grain prices-3.0%
• 2023. 5. 4.Wheat climbs to one-week high on Black Sea supply concerns - Markets - Business Recorder-0.8%
• 2024. 6. 13.No end in sight for shipping volatility | World Grain-1.9%
• 2026. 3. 10.Chicago soy, grains retreat as technical selling unwinds crude-driven rally - Markets - Business Recorder-2.1%