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Wheat futures reversed a prior rally, losing almost all gains from the previous week as forecasts improved for US corn states, and rains fell over the EU, Russia and Australia. December SRW fell more than 100 cents in six sessions after rallying about 115 cents, while HRW held its trading range.
Improved rainfall forecasts reduce production risk across major exporters, easing wheat and corn prices. Lower feed grain costs help buyers, though the market remains sensitive to weather.
farmonline.com.auNathan Cattle, Clear Grain Exchange2023. 7. 28.과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 334건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.9%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.
과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 70건 이후, 밀 (HRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.6% 변동(상승 41%; 중간 50% 범위 -3.9%~+2.5%), 20거래일 동안 -1.1%.
과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 357건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.3% 변동(상승 44%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.2%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.5%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Wheat futures gave back nearly all the prior week's gains as weather forecasts improved and rains fell in the EU, Russia and Australia, which reduced supply concerns; HRW was more range-bound, so the link is partial.
Improved forecasts for US corn states and rains elsewhere erased the prior grain rally, with wheat reversing sharply and dragging corn lower.
