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2023. 7. 13.날씨글로벌

El Niño and Its Influence on Global Food Insecurity - United States Department of State

A US State Department Foreign Press Center briefing featured NOAA chief scientist Sarah Kapnick and Special Envoy Cary Fowler discussing NOAA's latest outlook. El Niño conditions are expected to gradually strengthen, affecting crop yields, coastal fisheries, and drought and rainfall patterns worldwide.

중요한 이유

Official confirmation of a strengthening El Niño raises the risk of yield shortfalls in exposed regions, supporting firmer prices for weather-sensitive grains and oilseeds over time. The briefing itself adds no new supply data, so the price effect is gradual.

영향 대상옥수수 대두 밀 (SRW)팜유

출처 1건
2021-2025.state.govNOAA Chief Scientist Dr. Sarah Kapnick2023. 7. 13.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +4.7%5d -1.6%20d -7.1%

과거 날씨 이벤트 2,467건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.6%.

2023. 5. 2.Anticipating The Impact of El Niño on Food Security+2.7%
2023. 10. 30.El Niño Forecast to Contribute to Food Insecurity - NASA Science-3.3%
2018. 7. 27.Does the El Niño Southern Oscillation Actually Matter for Food Security? – State of the Planet+0.9%
2026. 10. 4.2026-2027 El Niño food security impacts-3.5%
2024. 9. 20.FAO urges swift action as La Niña threatens global food security+0.0%

대두방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +2.0%5d +0.2%20d -3.8%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,964건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2023. 5. 2.Anticipating The Impact of El Niño on Food Security+1.0%
2023. 10. 30.El Niño Forecast to Contribute to Food Insecurity - NASA Science+2.3%
2018. 7. 27.Does the El Niño Southern Oscillation Actually Matter for Food Security? – State of the Planet+2.5%
2024. 9. 20.FAO urges swift action as La Niña threatens global food security+2.7%
2021. 8. 30.The impact of La Niña and El Nino climate patterns on agriculture and food security | Experts’ Opinions DevelopmentAid-5.6%

밀 (SRW)방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +0.2%5d +3.7%20d +3.6%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,773건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

2023. 5. 2.Anticipating The Impact of El Niño on Food Security-0.4%
2023. 10. 30.El Niño Forecast to Contribute to Food Insecurity - NASA Science+2.3%
2018. 7. 27.Does the El Niño Southern Oscillation Actually Matter for Food Security? – State of the Planet-1.3%
2021. 8. 30.The impact of La Niña and El Nino climate patterns on agriculture and food security | Experts’ Opinions DevelopmentAid+0.2%
2023. 7. 18.How will El Nino impact the world’s wheat and global food supply - The University of Sydney+2.0%

팜유방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.4%5d +0.8%20d -1.4%

과거 날씨 이벤트 361건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.3%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

2023. 5. 2.Anticipating The Impact of El Niño on Food Security+11.1%
2024. 9. 20.FAO urges swift action as La Niña threatens global food security+2.6%
2021. 8. 30.The impact of La Niña and El Nino climate patterns on agriculture and food security | Experts’ Opinions DevelopmentAid+0.1%
2022. 2. 9.Simultaneous Droughts Could Threaten Global Food Security, Says Study – State of the Planet+2.1%
2023. 9. 28.Risks to global food commodity prices from El Niño-2.3%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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