How long will the El Nino last? Latest official forecasts

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,072건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

• 2019. 9. 17.ABARES slashes grain production forecasts | The Land | NSW+2.4%
• 2022. 7. 28.How big will Western Australia's wheat crop be? - Grain Price News+4.6%
• 2018. 9. 11.Drought bites in the east as ABARES forecasts 12pc cut to grain production - ABC News-7.4%
• 2023. 9. 6.From rice to palm oil, crop output forecasts for Asia-Pacific lower as El Nino strengthens | The Straits Times+2.1%
• 2023. 10. 10.COCERAL forecasts the grain harvest in the EU-27 + UK at 289.8 mln tons.+0.2%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 181건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.5% 변동(상승 56%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.9%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

• 2023. 6. 27.Palm oil will rise in price in the second half of the year – forecast+12.1%
• 2023. 9. 6.From rice to palm oil, crop output forecasts for Asia-Pacific lower as El Nino strengthens | The Straits Times-4.2%
• 2023. 8. 30.From rice to palm oil, Asian crops output forecast lower as El Nino strengthens+0.6%
• 2023. 7. 7.Malaysia forecasts peak of El Niño to hit in early 2024-0.1%
• 2023. 9. 1.Global El Niño forecasts predict a Very Strong event for 2023/24-4.5%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 179건 이후, 조곡(벼)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.4% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.5%), 20거래일 동안 +2.2%.

• 2023. 9. 6.From rice to palm oil, crop output forecasts for Asia-Pacific lower as El Nino strengthens | The Straits Times-6.2%
• 2024. 2. 19.The El Niño weather pattern shapes 2024 commodity price forecast-0.2%
• 2023. 8. 30.From rice to palm oil, Asian crops output forecast lower as El Nino strengthens+1.2%
• 2018. 7. 17.Cloudy outlook: Rice-growing states face big rain deficit - India News | The Financial Express-0.5%
• 2023. 7. 7.Malaysia forecasts peak of El Niño to hit in early 2024+1.4%