Shift from El Nino to La Nina portends rains in Asia, dryness in Americas

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,465건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

• 2024. 5. 9.El Nino to end by June, La Nina seen in second half of 2024, says U.S. forecaster | Reuters+2.7%
• 2023. 11. 13.Ongoing El Nino forecast to bring dry conditions in Southern Africa, SE Asia, Central America and wet conditions in Eastern Africa - Agroportal-0.5%
• 2021. 2. 22.Dry weather concerns extend from South America into North America+1.6%
• 2021. 9. 9.La Nina Development Has Potential to Affect Crops in US, South America+1.3%
• 2017. 11. 14.La Nina - Dryness stops fieldwork in Argentina+0.2%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,079건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

• 2024. 5. 9.El Nino to end by June, La Nina seen in second half of 2024, says U.S. forecaster | Reuters+0.1%
• 2021. 2. 22.Dry weather concerns extend from South America into North America+2.0%
• 2021. 9. 9.La Nina Development Has Potential to Affect Crops in US, South America+1.9%
• 2017. 11. 14.La Nina - Dryness stops fieldwork in Argentina+2.8%
• 2024. 4. 18.IRI Summer Forecast Points to Western Corn Belt Dryness Due to La Nina Influence+1.4%

과거 중립 날씨 이벤트 224건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.1% 변동(상승 46%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.5%), 20거래일 동안 +0.4%.

• 2024. 6. 13.La Nina weather 65% likely to develop in July-Sept, says US forecaster | Reuters-2.1%
• 2024. 8. 30.Limited Rain for Those in Need in South America+4.1%
• 2022. 12. 15.La Nina Pattern Continues Through December for South America-1.1%
• 2021. 3. 12.US summer dryness in 2021 favors north central states | World Grain-0.3%
• 2024. 11. 14.US forecaster sees 57% chance of La Nina developing between now and December | Reuters-0.5%