AHDB's daily grain report says La Niña could return in summer 2024, with NOAA putting the chance at 65% for July to September and 85% for November to January. UK feed wheat futures eased on strong expected US end-of-season stocks and improving Russian crop prospects.
The report notes La Niña often causes major weather changes in many regions.
Expected La Niña weather could affect crop yields in several exporting regions, which supports the price outlook for wheat. Current pressure on wheat prices comes mainly from ample supply, so the weather risk is a longer-term support.
과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,072건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.