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Rabobank's Global Pork Quarterly Q1 2025 says producers remain cautious about herd expansion despite lower feed costs and better productivity. Rabobank flags uncertainty from US tariff policy, which could reroute trade, along with ASF, PRRS and a foot-and-mouth disease outbreak in Germany that led to import suspensions.
Rabobank also expects possible inflation in some regions to weigh on pork demand.
Restrained herd growth limits pork supply expansion, which supports hog prices, while trade rerouting and disease-driven import bans add price volatility. Lower feed costs remain a partial offset for producers.
meatpoultry.comRyan McCarthy2025. 2. 24.과거 중립 보고서 이벤트 61건 이후, 돈육 (Lean Hogs)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.4% 변동(상승 48%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.3%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 +2.1%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
