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2025. 3. 25.날씨미국

The Growing Impact of ENSO on U.S. Extreme Drought and Flood Events - NOAA/AOML

A NOAA/AOML study published in npj Climate and Atmospheric Science projects more extreme winter droughts in the US Southwest and more extreme floods in the Southeast and Northeast. The study links these trends to a stronger ENSO influence and regional rainfall changes.

Droughts caused about $368 billion in US losses from 1980 to 2024.

중요한 이유

The study is a long-range research finding with no immediate supply change. It suggests greater future weather volatility for US crops, but it has little bearing on current futures prices.

영향 대상옥수수 대두 밀 (SRW)팜유

출처 1건
aoml.noaa.govAOML Communications2025. 3. 25.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.9%5d -1.5%20d +3.1%

과거 날씨 이벤트 2,467건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.6%.

2019. 6. 5.Droughts and flooding rains impact market | The Land | NSW+0.9%
2019. 3. 13.The Economic Impacts of Drought on US Agriculture+4.3%
2025. 12. 30.Impact of Rain and Drought on December Grain Prices+0.0%
2023. 5. 2.Anticipating The Impact of El Niño on Food Security+2.7%
2025. 5. 30.3 Top Corn-Growing States Report Extreme Drought, or Worse-0.3%

대두방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.5%5d +0.7%20d +2.8%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,964건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2019. 3. 13.The Economic Impacts of Drought on US Agriculture+2.2%
2025. 12. 30.Impact of Rain and Drought on December Grain Prices-0.7%
2024. 1. 26.Drought, Disease, Pests Impacted the 2023 Soybean Growing Season - ProAg-1.6%
2023. 5. 2.Anticipating The Impact of El Niño on Food Security+1.0%
2025. 5. 30.3 Top Corn-Growing States Report Extreme Drought, or Worse-0.0%

밀 (SRW)방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.2%5d -1.9%20d +1.7%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,773건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

2019. 6. 5.Droughts and flooding rains impact market | The Land | NSW+3.5%
2018. 4. 24.English Portal - Towards a better understanding of the impact of extreme climate events on wheat yields+3.4%
2023. 5. 2.Anticipating The Impact of El Niño on Food Security-0.4%
2023. 5. 29.Corn, Soybeans and Wheat in the Grips of Drought - AgWeb-1.4%
2023. 6. 15.Drought Concerns Grow as 57% of Corn, 51% of Soybeans in the U.S. Now Considered to Be in Drought - AgWeb+4.2%

팜유방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.3%5d +0.0%20d -6.9%

과거 날씨 이벤트 361건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.3%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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