Oil gains on supply concerns, investors await July OPEC+ output decision

과거 상승 거시 이벤트 487건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +1.0% 변동(상승 60%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.0%~+4.0%), 20거래일 동안 +1.5%.

• 2018. 1. 25.Column: OPEC's output restraint tightens oil inventories and spreads-1.3%
• 2026. 9. 28.Oil Market Split Shows Why Fuel Shortages Are Outpacing Crude Supply | Investing.com PH+9.2%
• 2020. 7. 29.Canadian dollar gains as investors sell greenbacks on ‘downbeat’ Fed - The Globe and Mail+1.8%
• 2017. 11. 30.Rupee closes at 64.46 over concerns on fiscal deficit, oil supply cut | Money & Forex Markets - Business Standard-2.5%
• 2017. 11. 30.Rupee falters on fiscal deficit, oil concerns; down 15 paise | India.com-2.5%

과거 상승 거시 이벤트 323건 이후, 원유 (Brent)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.7% 변동(상승 58%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.9%~+3.7%), 20거래일 동안 +1.3%.

• 2018. 1. 25.Column: OPEC's output restraint tightens oil inventories and spreads-2.6%
• 2026. 9. 28.Oil Market Split Shows Why Fuel Shortages Are Outpacing Crude Supply | Investing.com PH+7.0%
• 2022. 8. 23.Oil jumps nearly 4% on possible OPEC+ supply tightening | Reuters+7.6%
• 2023. 8. 1.Oil posts fifth week of gains on signals of tighter supply+0.6%
• 2024. 10. 30.Oil rises on U.S. stockpiles drawdown, OPEC+ mulls output hike delay+7.2%

과거 상승 거시 이벤트 105건 이후, ULSD / 디젤은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.4% 변동(상승 45%; 중간 50% 범위 -3.4%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 +1.2%.

• 2026. 9. 28.Oil Market Split Shows Why Fuel Shortages Are Outpacing Crude Supply | Investing.com PH-4.7%
• 2022. 9. 27.Surging bond yields spook investors, capping Canadian dollar gains - The Globe and Mail+9.6%
• 2023. 7. 31.WTI, Brent Notch 15% Monthly Gain on Tightening OPEC-Plus Supply+3.6%
• 2022. 3. 10.EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX falls as dollar gains on inflation data; rouble steadies - Supply Chain Council of European Union | Scceu.org-11.3%
• 2023. 8. 29.America Runs on Oil – But Can U.S. Diesel Stockpiles Keep Up? - Supply Chain Technology News+1.4%