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RaboResearch reports that pork prices have rebounded on tighter hog supplies from limited sow herd growth and health challenges. Trade flows are shifting as the EU and Latin America gain share amid US-China tensions.
The 90-day US-China tariff reduction may not fully offset added tariffs on US pork.
Tight hog supply supports pork and hog prices, while lost Chinese share of US pork may weigh on export-linked demand and expansion. Slower US sector investment limits longer-term feed demand growth.
porkcheckoff.org2025. 5. 5.과거 상승 무역 이벤트 85건 이후, 돈육 (Lean Hogs)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.8% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.8%~+4.5%), 20거래일 동안 +4.0%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Tighter US hog supplies from limited sow herd growth and health challenges are supportive for hog prices, and the report came just before the move.
Pork outlook notes tighter hog supplies and US-China tariff reduction, a supply and trade-flow narrative that could support lean hog prices, though dated a week before the move.
