For markets, end to ECB rate cuts just got closer

과거 상승 거시 이벤트 388건 이후, 유로 (EUR당 USD)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 62%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.4%~+1.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.1%.

• 2026. 5. 29.Dollar Faces Bigger Hit Than Euro If Fed, ECB Resume Rate Cuts -- Market Talk-0.2%
• 2023. 6. 15.European markets live updates: ECB rate decision, Fed rate decision+0.9%
• 2025. 3. 6.For markets, German fiscal splurge blurs ECB outlook+1.5%
• 2019. 9. 13.Euro surges as ECB rate cut seems to mark last stimulus move | The National-0.3%
• 2023. 12. 14.Euro-Dollar Closing On 1.10 As ECB Resists Rate Cut Bets+1.5%

과거 하락 거시 이벤트 1,637건 이후, 미국 달러 (광의 지수)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 39%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.6%~+0.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

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• 2023. 12. 1.Gold hits record high on bets for March start to Fed rate cuts+0.3%
• 2024. 2. 29.Rate cuts are a boon for metals markets…eventually | Oxford Economics-0.5%
• 2023. 12. 27.Dollar hits 5-mth low against euro as Fed seen closer to rate cuts+0.7%
• 2025. 10. 1.After The Rate Cut: Investing Beyond U.S. Markets+0.3%