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USDA announced risk-based phased reopening of southern ports to cattle, bison and equine imports from Mexico, starting with Douglas, Arizona, as early as July 7. The decision follows improved sterile fly dispersal and surveillance in Mexico, with no notable rise in screwworm cases there for eight weeks.
The ports had been closed since May 11.
Resumed Mexican feeder cattle imports would add supply to a tight U.S. market, which is likely to pressure feeder cattle prices and ease the historic beef price run-up over time.
usda.gov2025. 6. 30.과거 하락 무역 이벤트 87건 이후, 비육용 소은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.4% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -3.2%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +1.1%.
과거 하락 무역 이벤트 121건 이후, 생우은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.6% 변동(상승 40%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+0.8%), 20거래일 동안 -0.3%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
The official USDA notice of southern port reopening starting July 7 is the source of the supply-outlook shift behind the futures selloff.
USDA's June 30 announcement of a phased reopening of Mexican cattle imports from July 7 raises expected feeder supply, a bearish trade-flow factor for cattle futures.
