◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2025. 8. 19.날씨브라질

El Niño and La Niña affect grain production in Goiás and the Federal District

An Embrapa study of three decades of data in Goiás and the Federal District found El Niño years produced more yield declines than expected, while La Niña years were linked to more frequent gains. The researchers propose adjusting Brazil's fixed planting-window guidance annually using improved ENSO forecasts.

중요한 이유

The findings improve understanding of ENSO-driven yield risk for Brazilian beans, corn and soybeans in the Cerrado, which matters for expectations of the next crop.

영향 대상대두◆옥수수◆

출처 1건
revistacultivar.com2025. 8. 19.

가격 반응 및 이력

대두◆중립현재까지1d -0.8%5d +0.5%20d +2.8%

과거 중립 날씨 이벤트 324건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.

2017. 3. 29.Grain production - Between Risks and Records - Revista Cultivar-3.5%
2023. 6. 29.Soybean Production and Demand Are Up in the Air+5.2%
2017. 4. 20.Summer grain harvest shows good productivity - Revista Cultivar-0.5%
2025. 4. 15.PR 2024/25 Harvest: harvests advance, but climate demands attention - Cultivar Magazine-0.6%
2026. 2. 17.Climate Prediction Center: La Niña Likely to Fade, El Niño May Develop by Summer - Southeast AgNET+0.1%

옥수수◆중립현재까지1d -0.8%5d +1.2%20d +8.5%

과거 중립 날씨 이벤트 445건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.

2017. 3. 29.Grain production - Between Risks and Records - Revista Cultivar+0.8%
2018. 10. 22.Managing El Niño And La Niña In Lao Agriculture-1.2%
2017. 3. 14.Rain distribution favored soybean harvest in Mato Grosso - Revista Cultivar+1.2%
2022. 7. 4.Corn sown in the ideal window had no problem with lack of rain in Mato Grosso - Revista Cultivar+5.1%
2017. 4. 20.Summer grain harvest shows good productivity - Revista Cultivar+0.2%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

대두 SOY · GP ▸

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옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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