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2026. 5. 5.날씨미국

Drought, frost provide lift for U.S. hard red wheat price

Persistent dry weather and wild temperature swings, including hard frosts April 17-19, have badly damaged US hard red winter wheat in Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Texas and Colorado. Kansas winter wheat was rated 41% poor to very poor at the end of April, versus 17% a year earlier.

중요한 이유

Poor crop ratings point to lower HRW output and possibly higher abandonment, which supports HRW prices. Sustained stress would lift export competition for other origins.

영향 대상밀 (HRW)▲밀 (SRW)▲

출처 1건
producer.comD'Arce McMillan2026. 5. 5.

가격 반응 및 이력

밀 (HRW)▲상승현재까지1d -0.8%5d -1.3%20d -7.0%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 322건 이후, 밀 (HRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.1% 변동(상승 49%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.5%~+3.2%), 20거래일 동안 +1.0%.

2026. 4. 29.U.S. hard red winter wheat crop finds itself in trouble | The Western Producer-2.8%
2017. 9. 21.U.S. winter wheat plantings might be smaller | The Western Producer+2.5%
2022. 4. 13.U.S. Hard Red Winter Wheat in Drought Adds Supply Concerns+0.1%
2022. 10. 22.Rains threaten South American wheat | The Western Producer-2.5%
2021. 7. 23.Crop markets wake up to evolving drought disaster | The Western Producer+3.2%

밀 (SRW)▲상승현재까지1d -0.4%5d +1.8%20d -0.2%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,072건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2026. 4. 29.U.S. hard red winter wheat crop finds itself in trouble | The Western Producer-3.1%
2019. 12. 2.Wet autumn to cut wheat area in France, UK in setback for next harvest | The Western Producer-0.7%
2017. 9. 21.U.S. winter wheat plantings might be smaller | The Western Producer-6.6%
2022. 4. 13.U.S. Hard Red Winter Wheat in Drought Adds Supply Concerns-0.5%
2024. 5. 29.‘Weather market’ resumes role as price driver | The Western Producer-5.3%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

밀 (HRW) KWHEAT · GP ▸

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밀 (SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

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