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Profercy reports that China has begun issuing urea export quotas of roughly 1.5 to 1.6 million tonnes for June to August, with minimum FOB price floors of $660 per tonne for prilled and $670 for granular urea. Local Chinese prices are well below $300 per tonne FOB equivalent, and direct sales to India may be permitted at a $20 premium.
Chinese quota supply could add meaningful urea volume to a tight global market, though the high price floors may limit how much it eases international prices.
profercy.comKuganiga Kuganeswaran2026. 5. 26.과거 하락 정책 이벤트 34건 이후, 요소은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.8% 변동(상승 38%; 중간 50% 범위 -3.3%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 -4.5%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
China reopening urea exports with quotas of about 1.5-1.6 mt for June-August signals a major supply return, which drove a sharp bearish repricing.
China issuing urea export quotas (1.5-1.6 Mt for June-August) reopens a large supply source after months of absence, a direct bearish supply shock for global urea prices.
