◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2026. 9. 8.지정학중동

Explainer: Why isn't oil above $100 despite supply disruptions?

Brent hit $100 per barrel on September 9 for the first time since late July, but prices have risen more gradually than the escalating Middle East conflict would suggest. The article attributes the restraint partly to China cutting its seaborne crude imports sharply in July and August.

중요한 이유

Weaker Chinese crude demand is offsetting supply losses, which limits how far energy costs can pass through to feed and fuel prices. Buyers should still expect volatility while Middle East risk persists.

영향 대상원유 (Brent)▲원유 (WTI)▲

출처 1건
reuters.comFlorence Tan2026. 9. 8.

가격 반응 및 이력

원유 (Brent)▲상승현재까지1d +1.6%5d +12.9%20d +11.9%

과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 656건 이후, 원유 (Brent)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +1.9% 변동(상승 63%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.7%~+6.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.

2026. 1. 13.Oil prices rise by more than $1 a barrel on potential Iran supply disruption | Reuters+1.4%
2026. 10. 2.Oil Rises as Mideast Tensions Sustain Supply-Disruption Fears+7.5%
2020. 1. 7.US, Iran tensions: Oil traders fear supply disruptions in Middle East-7.8%
2020. 2. 1.Oil Pares Gains as Plentiful Supply Tempers Libya Disruption-6.0%
2024. 1. 20.Oil supply tightens in Europe over Red Sea disruptions | Israel-Palestine conflict News | Al Jazeera+4.8%

원유 (WTI)▲상승현재까지1d +1.7%5d +10.6%20d +1.7%

과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 626건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +2.1% 변동(상승 62%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.3%~+8.5%), 20거래일 동안 +1.6%.

2026. 1. 13.Oil prices rise by more than $1 a barrel on potential Iran supply disruption | Reuters+1.5%
2026. 10. 2.Oil Rises as Mideast Tensions Sustain Supply-Disruption Fears-1.5%
2020. 1. 7.US, Iran tensions: Oil traders fear supply disruptions in Middle East-8.1%
2020. 2. 1.Oil Pares Gains as Plentiful Supply Tempers Libya Disruption-2.4%
2026. 7. 31.Supply Disruptions Underpin Crude Oil Prices-7.4%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

원유 (Brent) BRENT · GP ▸

· ·

원유 (WTI) WTI · GP ▸

· ·