Opec+ holds oil output steady as prices continue to rise amid Middle East escalation

과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 656건 이후, BRENT은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +1.9% 변동(상승 63%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.7%~+6.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.

• 2022. 5. 5.Opec+ sticks to June output plan as oil prices continue to rise | The National-2.5%
• 2024. 10. 31.Oil Rises On Middle East Conflict Escalation Fears+3.9%
• 2026. 7. 22.Oil price rises above $95 mark as Middle East conflict escalates | Oil | The Guardian-8.2%
• 2025. 6. 11.Oil prices jumps 4% to 2-month high as tensions rise in Middle East | Reuters+14.7%
• 2026. 9. 7.Oil prices rise to six-week highs on worsening Middle East conflict | Reuters+12.0%

과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 626건 이후, WTI은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +2.1% 변동(상승 62%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.3%~+8.5%), 20거래일 동안 +1.6%.

• 2022. 5. 5.Opec+ sticks to June output plan as oil prices continue to rise | The National-2.1%
• 2024. 10. 31.Oil Rises On Middle East Conflict Escalation Fears+4.5%
• 2025. 6. 11.Oil prices jumps 4% to 2-month high as tensions rise in Middle East | Reuters+15.2%
• 2026. 9. 7.Oil prices rise to six-week highs on worsening Middle East conflict | Reuters+9.3%
• 2018. 4. 15.Bullish forecast for oil prices as Middle East tensions rise+1.4%