
A University of Minnesota veterinarian describes the continued global spread of African swine fever into new regions in 2023 and 2024. ASF has no approved treatment or widely available vaccine and can kill up to 100% of infected herds.
The article estimates that a US outbreak could cost billions through closed export markets.
ASF spread in exporting countries raises the risk of a US outbreak, which would close export markets and push hog prices down while supporting demand for feed grains if domestic pork is redirected. The article is educational and does not signal a new supply shock.
과거 하락 질병 이벤트 117건 이후, 돈육 (Lean Hogs)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.6% 변동(상승 36%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.2%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 +1.2%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.