
Industry players say earlier government policy errors on palm oil, including an export ban from late April to May 2022 and low cooking oil ceiling prices, caused producers to hold stock and created shortages. The government is considering advancing the mandatory B40 biodiesel program while cooking oil prices remain high.
Speakers at the International Palm Oil Conference in Bali highlighted lost Indonesian market share in India to Malaysian palm oil.
An earlier B40 start would absorb more palm oil into biodiesel and tighten domestic and export supply, which is bullish for palm and soy oil prices. Repeated policy interventions also add supply uncertainty that tends to lift risk premiums.
과거 상승 정책 이벤트 548건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.4% 변동(상승 61%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.7%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.
과거 상승 정책 이벤트 842건 이후, 대두유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 -0.5%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.