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2025. 5. 14.무역미국

U.S. soybean exports risk 20% drop without improved China deal

A temporary US-China trade truce cut Chinese tariffs on US goods to 10% from 145%, but analysts said duties remained too high for US soybeans to compete. AgResource projects US soybean exports could fall to 1.5 billion bushels from an initial estimate of 1.865 billion without a substantive deal.

Corn exports could drop 13% to 2.4 billion bushels.

중요한 이유

A projected drop of roughly 20% in soybean exports would leave more US supply domestically, pressuring soybean and corn prices unless a deal is reached.

영향 대상대두▼옥수수▼

출처 1건
reuters.comSybille de La Hamaide2025. 5. 14.

가격 반응 및 이력

대두▼하락현재까지1d -0.0%5d -1.3%20d -1.6%

과거 하락 무역 이벤트 803건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

2025. 8. 1.China’s soybean meal stockpiles rise, US soybean imports in doubt+1.0%
2025. 6. 9.Decline of China's Soybean Meal Market Amid Rising Imports+1.2%
2018. 8. 1.Why China’s pork producers can survive without US soybean imports | South China Morning Post-1.6%
2019. 1. 25.China's 2018 soybean imports from U.S. hit lowest since 2008-0.1%
2021. 7. 26.Protein pinch: China's soybean imports to slow over rest of 2021 on curbed meal use+1.0%

옥수수▼하락현재까지1d +0.3%5d +3.8%20d +0.4%

과거 하락 무역 이벤트 683건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2024. 9. 13.Weathering the Storm: U.S. Corn Exports Drop as China Shifts Import Strategy+2.9%
2018. 11. 1.China slashed its imports of U.S. sorghum, soybean, and corn in September+3.6%
2020. 12. 1.China Targets U.S. Farm Imports With Tariffs | Feed & Grain-0.4%
2025. 5. 28.China halted U.S. soybean & corn imports before Trump tariff war – China Environment News-2.1%
2021. 7. 16.Gro Expects Drop in China Pork Imports and Lower Corn Feed Use-0.1%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

대두 SOY · GP ▸

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옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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