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2025. 4. 11.날씨아르헨티나

Argentina soy, once parched, now has too much rain

Argentina's 2024/25 soybean harvest, estimated at 48.6 million tons, was running 4 percentage points behind the five-year average harvesting pace as of the Buenos Aires grains exchange report. Soybean sales were the slowest in 10 years, with only about 20% of the estimated crop sold as of April 2.

중요한 이유

Slow farmer selling and delayed harvest keep Argentine soybean and meal supplies tight in the near term, supporting export-origin basis and offshore prices for soymeal.

영향 대상대두▲대두박▲

출처 1건
reuters.comMaximilian Heath2025. 4. 11.

가격 반응 및 이력

대두▲상승현재까지1d +1.3%5d +0.7%20d +1.5%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,079건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

2017. 5. 2.Don't Rain On Me, Argentina-0.3%
2023. 1. 4.Argentina's soy, corn may hinge on La Nina's exit after dry 2022 | Reuters+1.5%
2025. 5. 15.Argentina's soy farmers race ahead with harvest to beat the rains-0.4%
2022. 1. 6.Heatwave to hit Argentina, further stressing corn, soybean crops | Reuters+0.5%
2024. 2. 7.Argentine crops endure three weeks with scarce rain after estimate hikes | Reuters-1.1%

대두박▲상승현재까지1d +0.5%5d -0.1%20d -3.3%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 453건 이후, 대두박은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.5% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+2.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.5%.

2017. 5. 2.Don't Rain On Me, Argentina-1.5%
2023. 1. 4.Argentina's soy, corn may hinge on La Nina's exit after dry 2022 | Reuters+4.1%
2025. 5. 15.Argentina's soy farmers race ahead with harvest to beat the rains+2.1%
2022. 1. 6.Heatwave to hit Argentina, further stressing corn, soybean crops | Reuters+1.4%
2024. 2. 7.Argentine crops endure three weeks with scarce rain after estimate hikes | Reuters-3.3%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

대두 SOY · GP ▸

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