Oil’s Current Plunge: Goodbye Inflation Trade, Hello Recession

과거 하락 거시 이벤트 565건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -1.4% 변동(상승 41%; 중간 50% 범위 -5.9%~+3.0%), 20거래일 동안 -0.5%.

• 2022. 7. 5.Oil could plummet to the $60s if a recession hits, Citi speculates-3.9%
• 2018. 12. 24.Plunging oil prices show the market is worried about 2019 recession-0.5%
• 2023. 12. 12.U.S. crude oil falls more than 3% on inflation worries+1.7%
• 2022. 7. 1.Oil prices fall due to recession worries-0.9%
• 2020. 4. 27.U.S. oil plunges 25%, Brent falls below $20 a barrel | Reuters+21.1%

과거 하락 거시 이벤트 312건 이후, 원유 (Brent)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -1.7% 변동(상승 38%; 중간 50% 범위 -5.4%~+2.3%), 20거래일 동안 -1.7%.

• 2022. 7. 5.Oil could plummet to the $60s if a recession hits, Citi speculates-4.9%
• 2018. 12. 24.Plunging oil prices show the market is worried about 2019 recession-1.3%
• 2023. 12. 12.U.S. crude oil falls more than 3% on inflation worries+3.3%
• 2022. 7. 1.Oil prices fall due to recession worries-7.1%
• 2020. 4. 27.U.S. oil plunges 25%, Brent falls below $20 a barrel | Reuters+19.9%