◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2020. 1. 22.질병중국

Fueled by concerns over the ‘China virus,’ oil markets tumble

Oil prices plunged on January 22 as concern over coronavirus spread weighed on the market. Goldman Sachs estimated the outbreak could cut global oil demand by 260,000 barrels per day, mainly through lower jet fuel use.

중요한 이유

A demand shock from the outbreak adds to an already oversupplied market, pressuring crude and distillate prices. Diesel's relative resilience limits the downside for fuel costs.

영향 대상원유 (WTI)▼원유 (Brent)▼ULSD / 디젤▼

출처 1건
freightwaves.comJohn Kingston2020. 1. 22.

가격 반응 및 이력

원유 (WTI)▼하락현재까지1d -2.6%5d -8.4%20d -8.5%

과거 하락 질병 이벤트 32건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -5.2% 변동(상승 13%; 중간 50% 범위 -15.0%~-2.4%), 20거래일 동안 -5.7%.

2020. 1. 27.Oil drops below $60 as China virus drives demand concern | Fox Business-4.7%
2020. 1. 23.Oil falls 3% as specter of China virus threatens fuel demand-6.1%
2021. 11. 26.OIL FUTURES: Crude futures plunge by more than 10% on new COVID-19 variant concerns-15.0%
2020. 2. 4.Oil extends decline as virus hits China demand | Daily FT-1.0%
2021. 12. 1.Oil turns lower as Covid variant is confirmed in the U.S.+8.8%

원유 (Brent)▼하락현재까지1d -2.3%5d -7.3%20d -10.3%

과거 하락 질병 이벤트 26건 이후, 원유 (Brent)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -6.0% 변동(상승 15%; 중간 50% 범위 -13.3%~-2.0%), 20거래일 동안 -6.8%.

2020. 1. 27.Oil drops below $60 as China virus drives demand concern | Fox Business-3.4%
2020. 1. 23.Oil falls 3% as specter of China virus threatens fuel demand-4.8%
2021. 11. 26.OIL FUTURES: Crude futures plunge by more than 10% on new COVID-19 variant concerns-14.7%
2020. 2. 4.Oil extends decline as virus hits China demand | Daily FT-1.6%
2021. 12. 1.Oil turns lower as Covid variant is confirmed in the U.S.+6.8%

ULSD / 디젤▼하락현재까지1d -1.6%5d -6.3%20d -6.6%

과거 하락 질병 이벤트 13건 이후, ULSD / 디젤은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -5.1% 변동(상승 38%; 중간 50% 범위 -6.3%~+1.2%), 20거래일 동안 -6.1%.

2020. 1. 27.Oil drops below $60 as China virus drives demand concern | Fox Business-6.3%
2021. 11. 26.OIL FUTURES: Crude futures plunge by more than 10% on new COVID-19 variant concerns-11.4%
2020. 2. 17.Analyst reports little chance of a near-term recovery in diesel - FreightWaves-5.1%
2021. 11. 26.Algos and options turn a tumble into a crash on oil's Black Friday - The Business Times-11.4%
2020. 2. 5.Commodity Tracker: Coronavirus and commodity markets | S&P Global+2.6%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

연관 가격 변동

원유 (Brent)-9.0%5개 기간 · 2020. 1. 27.까지-2.9σ
Oil plunged on Jan 22 on virus concerns, with Goldman estimating a 260k b/d demand hit mainly in jet fuel, contributing to the 5-day decline.
원유 (WTI)-9.3%5개 기간 · 2020. 1. 27.까지-2.8σ
Oil plunged Jan 22 on virus concerns, with Goldman estimating a 260k b/d demand loss, contributing to the 5-day drop.

원유 (WTI) WTI · GP ▸

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원유 (Brent) BRENT · GP ▸

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