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Natural gas futures rose about 6.2% to near $2.60 per mmBtu on Tuesday, and the UNG fund gained 2.6%. Models showed colder weather ahead, with the GFS adding more than 15 heating degree days.
Analysts said a large speculative short position could be forced to cover if the heating-demand outlook held.
Stronger heating-demand forecasts and short covering can push gas prices higher in the near term. Higher gas prices also raise power and fuel costs for feed producers.
finance.yahoo.comETF Trends2019. 10. 29.과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 221건 이후, 천연가스은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +3.3% 변동(상승 61%; 중간 50% 범위 -5.2%~+14.0%), 20거래일 동안 -0.3%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Colder weather model runs (GFS adding 15+ heating degree days) boosted the demand outlook and a large speculative short position risked covering, amplifying the price jump.
Colder weather model runs (GFS adding 15+ heating degree days) lifted prices about 6% and raised the prospect of a large speculative short position covering, amplifying the rally.
