Prompt Month Natural Gas Futures Sink 10% as Geopolitical Risks ‘Evaporate’

과거 하락 지정학 이벤트 15건 이후, 천연가스은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -1.1% 변동(상승 40%; 중간 50% 범위 -9.2%~+2.4%), 20거래일 동안 +4.7%.

• 2026. 2. 2.NYMEX Overview: Futures Move Lower as Geopolitical Tensions Cool -- OPIS-30.8%
• 2022. 5. 10.Gas prices drop as Russia says sanctions will not affect gas payments from Europe+6.5%
• 2020. 1. 1.European Gas Prices Fall as Ukraine, Russia Deal Averts Crisis-1.1%
• 2020. 2. 7.The Commodities Feed: More OPEC+ cuts coming | snaps | ING THINK+1.4%
• 2022. 5. 11.European Gas Falls as Traders Shrug Off Russia Supply Risk - Bloomberg+17.0%

과거 하락 지정학 이벤트 255건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -2.4% 변동(상승 31%; 중간 50% 범위 -7.0%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 -5.0%.

• 2025. 11. 21.Market Talk | Diesel Futures Slide For Third Day Amid Geopolitical Tensions And Refinery Setbacks-2.0%
• 2026. 2. 2.NYMEX Overview: Futures Move Lower as Geopolitical Tensions Cool -- OPIS-1.6%
• 2018. 4. 2.Oil falls as geopolitical anxiety 'comes racing out of the market'-4.4%
• 2025. 6. 24.Crude Prices Plunge as Geopolitical Risk Premium Vanishes-4.6%
• 2026. 3. 9.Oil Futures Fall As Market Looks for Shorter War - WSJ+8.5%